Today is a milestone in the offseason. We are 100 days from the start of the college football season. That turns a page in Talking Season, and one of the first big topics on the docket is Vegas win totals. The projection for the Kentucky football program isn’t very optimistic following a 4-8 campaign.
In recent years, Vegas handicapped Kentucky as a bowl team. The win total hovered between 5.5 and 6.5 games. Kentucky went well below the line of 6.5 in 2024. That is one reason why that number has dipped ahead of the 2025 season. Over at DraftKings, Kentucky has a win total of 5.5 (over +150, under -180). It’s one game lower at FanDuel.
SEC Win Totals
Georgia – 9.5
Over -178, Under +144
Texas – 9.5
Over -184, Under +148
Alabama – 9.5
Over +110, Under -134
LSU – 8.5
Over -158, Under +128
Missouri – 7.5
Over +104, Under -128
Ole Miss – 8.5
Over -180, Under +146
Tennessee – 8.5
Over -110, Under -110
Florida – 7.5
Over +124, Under -152
Texas A&M – 7.5
Over -170, Under +138
Auburn – 7.5
Over -180, Under +146
South Carolina – 7.5
Over -110, Under -110
Oklahoma – 6.5
Over -178, Under +144
Arkansas – 5.5
Over -115, Under -105
Vanderbilt – 4.5
Over -184, Under +134
Kentucky – 4.5
Over -130, Under +104
Mississippi State – 3.5
Over -144, Under +118
Uncertainty Leads to a Lower Total
When the 11 Personnel crew handicaps its best win total bets, the first thing we look at isn’t the power rankings, it’s the schedule. How many wins is this team guaranteed to bank? That’s a difficult assignment when handicapping the Kentucky football team.
For the second straight year, Kentucky has one of the ten most difficult schedules in college football. Early spread projections indicated that the Wildcats will only be favored to win four games. They are one-score underdogs in three other games. That means for the Cats to return to the postseason, they must take care of business (including a road game at Vanderbilt) as a favorite and win two of their three toss-up games.
In addition to the difficult schedule, there are plenty of unknowns about the roster that was drastically flipped this offseason. There are only 14 returning scholarship players on offense. An optimist might say that’s a positive. After all, they needed fresh blood to improve, however, it creates so much uncertainty, even if the new guys have plenty of college football experience elsewhere. Betting on uncertainty is not a great bet. Best of luck in your win total wagers.
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