The Cincinnati Reds will look to rebound after a tough loss on Friday night in extra-innings that featured missed opportunities and sloppy defensive play that would cost them in a loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. First pitch this evening is scheduled for 6:40pm ET.
Starting Lineups
St. Louis Cardinals |
Cincinnati Reds |
| Masyn Winn – SS | TJ Friedl – CF |
| Ivan Herrera – DH | Noelvi Marte – RF |
| Lars Nootbaar – LF | Elly De La Cruz – SS |
| Willson Contreras – 1B | Miguel Andujar – DH |
| Jordan Walker – RF | Gavin Lux – LF |
| Nolan Gorman – 3B | Spencer Steer – 1B |
| Thomas Saggese – 2B | Ke’Bryan Hayes – 3B |
| Pedro Pages – C | Jose Trevino – C |
| Nathan Church – CF | Matt McLain – 2B |
| Michael McGreevy – RHP | Andrew Abbott – LHP |
Starting Pitchers
| Pitcher | IP | ERA | WHIP | BB | K |
| Andrew Abbott | 134.0 | 2.62 | 1.10 | 35 | 118 |
| Michael McGreevy | 63.0 | 4.43 | 1.19 | 9 | 40 |
| Links: Andrew Abbott’s Stats | Michael McGreevy’s Stats |
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Andrew Abbott
In his last start, Andrew Abbott had his worst outing of the season as he allowed six earned in 4.0 innings in a 10-1 loss out in Arizona. Today will be his third start against the Cardinals. In his previous two starts he allowed one run in 11.0 innings.
The splits are noticeable against Abbott this season. Right-handed hitters are hitting for a low average, not getting on base, and are showing mediocre power when they do happen to get a hit. Lefties are hitting for an even lower average, get on base less often, and hit for no power.
Splits
| Split | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| RHH | 420 | 89 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 88 | .229 | .279 | .378 |
| LHH | 124 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 30 | .211 | .262 | .316 |
Pitch Usage
| 4-seam | Cutter | Curve | Slider | Change | |
| Velo | 92.6 | 88.4 | 80.4 | 82.4 | 84.5 |
| Usage | 47% | 5% | 12% | 16% | 20% |
Michael McGreevy
The Cardinals have had Michael McGreevy up-and-down this year between Triple-A and the big leagues, but he’s spent the last five weeks with St. Louis. He’s battled some consistency in there, but has been solid or better in six of his seven starts. He’s thrown six innings in his last five outings and seven in the one preceding his lone poor outing against San Diego on July 27th.
The splits against McGreevy are big this season. He’s been very good against right-handed hitters who almost never walk and hit for no power. Righties do make plenty of contact, but it’s not helped them do much hitting. Left-handed hitters also make a bunch of contact and don’t walk much, but they are turning their contact into a high average and plenty of power.
Splits
| Split | PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG |
| RHH | 138 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | .237 | .265 | .328 |
| LHH | 122 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | .304 | .344 | .504 |
Pitch Usage
| 4-sm | 2-sm | Cutter | Curve | Slider | Change | |
| Velo | 92.9 | 91.6 | 88.5 | 79.1 | 83.5 | 87.7 |
| Usage | 26% | 24% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 7% |
When and Where
- Game time: 6:40pm ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park
- Watch: FanDuel Sports Network, MLB.tv
- Listen: 700 WLW AM (Cincinnati area)
- Forecast: 74°, sunny, 0% chance of rain
News and Notes
Tyler Stephenson update
Manager Terry Francona told the media this afternoon prior to today’s game that Tyler Stephenson is going to catch today to test his thumb out against a pitching machine. He noted that the team may explore letting him come back and hit before getting him in games to catch. This was first reported by Charlie Goldsmith of Fox19.
Playoff odds
Every day that I do the game preview I include the division standings and the playoff odds as calculated by Fangraphs. Entering the game today the Reds only have 2.6% chance at making the playoffs. That is the lowest playoff odds they’ve had all season long. They’ve never been lower. Things like that will happen when you go 1-6 at the end of August and were already on the outside looking in, I guess.
Division Standings
| Team | W | L | GB | Playoff Odds |
| Milwaukee | 84 | 52 | 0.0 | 100.0% |
| Chicago | 77 | 58 | 6.5 | 99.5% |
| Cincinnati | 68 | 67 | 15.5 | 2.6% |
| St. Louis | 67 | 69 | 17.0 | 0.6% |
| Pittsburgh | 60 | 76 | 24.0 | 0.0% |
| Playoff Odds via Fangraphs | ||||
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